The Dublin office market has had a strong start to 2025, with significant leasing activity and a clear trend towards high-quality, centrally located spaces. Notably, city centre areas accounted for 80% of office take-up in Q1, reflecting ongoing demand for accessibility, modern amenities, and proximity to transport links.

As the workplace landscape continues to evolve, businesses are prioritising Grade A office space to meet the needs of their teams. Dublin remains an attractive hub for both established and emerging industries, particularly in the TMT sector.

Exciting times ahead for the market!

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Q2 saw a very positive pick-up in office activity with take-up reaching over 870,000 sq.ft., a material increase on the mere 197,000 sq.ft. transacting in Q1. These figures were boosted by the inclusion of the sale of the 182,340 Sq.Ft. long vacant Seamark office Building in Elm Park which we understand was bought by the HSE for a step-down facility. In addition, in excess of 150,000 Sq.ft. of space was assigned to Stripe at Wilton Park, representing the first sign of large scale prime ESG take-up since covid. More importantly it is the first sign of the TMT sector beginning to become active again. This currently dormant sector usually represents approx. 50% of take-up Dublin figures as opposed to just 27% this quarter.

The average deal size in Q2 was 16,877 sq.ft. increasing from 5,640 Sq.ft. in Q1 and 7,774 Sq.ft. in the same quarter of 2023. As seen in previous quarters, small floorplates continue to dominate deal numbers with 22 transactions (out of 52) occurring in the <5,000 Sq.ft. bracket. This part of the market has actually remained relatively stable since the return to the office post-pandemic. Heading into Q3, there is still in excess of 500,000 Sq.ft. of space reserved, which creates some momentum for the second half of the year.

Roderick Nowlan, Julia Halpenny

The office market experienced another subdued quarter with just 197,415 sq.ft. of space transacting over 35 deals. This represents a fall on the same quarter of 2023 where 283,734 sq.ft. of space transacted and a fall from the 357,694 sq.ft. experienced in Q4 2023. Small floorplates continue to attract high levels of demand with average deal sizes reaching 5,640 sq.ft., representing a material change from 8,129 sq.ft. last quarter.

On a positive note, heading into Q2, approx. 811,571 sq.ft. of space is “reserved” but this number appears to be continually rolling over into each subsequent quarter.

Roderick Nowlan, Lucy Connolly, Julia Halpenny

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Dublin office market take-up reached 354,000 Sq.ft. for the third quarter of the year, bringing the year to date total to just under 1,100,000 Sq.ft. This take up figure represents a 20% decrease on Q2 2023, a 56% decrease on Q3 2022 and a 1.5% decrease on Q3 2019 (pre-covid).

Q3 is traditionally the most subdued quarter following the summer break, however, transactions have remained steady with 54 deals recorded, resulting in an average deal size of 6,500 Sq.ft. (-15% on Q2 2023). There is currently 717,000 Sq.ft. reserved across 75 transactions.

Roderick Nowlan, Lucy Connolly, Julia Halpenny

Quarter 2 Dublin office take up exceeded 440,000 sq.ft. resulting in an increase in average deal size to 7,720 sq.ft. (24% increase on Q1 2023)

City Fringe and Suburban markets performed particularly well this quarter accounting for 60% of all take-up. Dublin continues to attract a diverse mix of industries with professional services, finance and state agencies the most active sectors this quarter with TMT accounting for just 6% of total take up, a decrease of 35% from the same quarter of 2022. We commence Q3 with over 665,000 sq.ft. of office space currently reserved.

See full details below together with expert insight from Lucy Connolly.

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Following a subdued Q1, Dublin office take up for the second quarter of the year reached 440,000 sq.ft. across 57 transactions. This brings the year to date figure to 724,500 sq.ft. Whilst Q2 take up is 53% ahead of Q1 figures, it reflects a H1 decrease of 28% versus the same period last year.

Dublin continues to attract a diverse mix of industries with professional services, finance and State agencies the most active sectors this quarter with TMT lagging behind significantly, accounting for just 6% of total take-up.

Roderick Nowlan, Lucy Connolly, Julia Halpenny

The Covid-19 Pandemic has led to a paradigm shift in the traditional approach to office-based work. Following the initial ‘work from home’ requirements during the Pandemic, many businesses have since adopted alternative working models away from the traditional ‘in the office at your desk’ to models such as shifting staff to full work from home, flexible working options and hybrid working models.  

The widespread shift to more flexible and agile working models has moved the concept of ‘work’ from a physical place to an activity. The net effect of this does not mitigate the need for a physical office, rather it changes the role and function the office plays in the business and how the space is utilised to meet staff working habits and models and drive business goals. While the full effect of Covid-19 on working models is yet to be seen, the consensus of many businesses and organisations has been to adopt a form of hybrid working to give staff more flexibility and that this is required in order to maintain and attract talent.  

Hybrid working models will not necessarily impact an office development’s occupational capacity, rather it allows the building to attract occupiers with larger workforces. For example, if a development with a capacity for 1,000 workers is occupied by a business that implements a 50/50 split between WFH and office, the scheme can, in theory support an occupier with a 2,000 strong workforce. In practice this may be less as businesses will require full attendance by teams at different times and we have already seen the TWT (Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday) phenomenon at play as workers prefer to work from home on Mondays & Fridays. Despite this, the classic rule of thumb of allocating 10-15 sq.m. of space per employee to gauge an occupier’s spatial requirement is clearly being challenged. Paradoxically, there may be a positive spin off for the locations where these offices are located as the total number of distinct visitors during the week increases. 

There is still uncertainty around the long-term effect of Covid-19 on long term office working models. This is manifesting itself in the leasing environment through shifting occupier space requirements, greater lease flexibility and increased demand for fitted-out spaces. Businesses will use lease events such as expiries and break options to rationalise their workplaces to reflect their adopted work models. As workplaces continue to adapt and adopt modern working practises it is important for occupiers to be cognisant of the spatial requirements needed to accommodate and attract the modern workforce and for investors and owners to be cognisant of the effect these work models will affect demand levels and lease events. 

If you wish to discuss developments in the office markets further, please contact offices@bannon.ie. 

Author:                 George Colyer, Surveyor, Bannon 

Bannon’s latest Office Pulse is now live.

Take up for the first quarter of the year reached 278,000 sq.ft. across 45 transactions, representing a 45% decrease on Q1 2022. Deal sizes have decreased this quarter with 76% of transactions falling into the sub 5,000 sq.ft. bracket resulting in an average deal size of 6,300 sq.ft. Lease flexibility continues to be the dominant driver in demand. There is over 600,000 sq.ft. currently reserved (71 Transactions) which should boost Q2 figures.

See full details below together with expert insight from Lucy Connolly and Cillian O’Reilly.

To view the full report, please click here.

Bannon’s latest Office Pulse is now live!

This month’s Office Pulse includes expert market insights from Lucy Connolly and Cillian O’Reilly. In this edition we ask; As tech sector expansion slows down, is this the end of the super deal? We also look at the data behind a two-tier occupational office letting market.

To view the full report, please click here.

The first Bannon Dublin Office Market Pulse of 2023 is now live. Dublin office market take up exceeded 2,650,000 sq.ft. in 2022, boosted by a busy Q4 with over 804,000 sq.ft. transacting in the final quarter. See full details below together with expert insight from Lucy Connolly.

To view the full report, please click here.

The Bannon Dublin Office Market report is available now. Take up for the third quarter reached 819,000 sq.ft. representing a 60% increase on Q2 and a 77% increase in the same period last year. Lease flexibility continues to be sought in the short term as companies continue to assess their office requirements as remote and hybrid models are fully determined.

We are seeing an increase in activity from the financial and professional services sectors, many of whom are seeking to satisfy their ESG policies in terms of their real estate decisions.

To view the full report, please click here.

A cursory look at both the third quarter and year-to-date property investment volume data would indicate that it’s a case of “steady as she goes” in the market but as always, the proverbial devil is in the detail. When you pull back the curtain on the statistics, the current institutional investment mantra of “beds, sheds and meds” is reflected in the true underlying trends.

At first glance, investment volumes for the third quarter show that offices hold the lead at 37.7 per cent closely followed by residential at 36 per cent. Year to date shows an even stronger position for offices at 43.5 per cent and residential at 29.9 per cent. However, two key transactions shroud a huge shift in the market and highlight the importance of both the residential sector and the movement in non-office investments.

If we exclude the €1.089 billion Hibernia Reit (Hibernia Real Estate Group) transaction from the second quarter (which arguably should not have been included as it was a corporate acquisition) and the one-off €500 million Salesforce headquarter deal from the third quarter, the lay of the land changes dramatically. The result is that the residential sector exceeds 50 per cent of third-quarter volumes and 44.4 per cent of the year-to-date volumes. Conversely, the office sector falls to a mere 17.7 per cent of the quarter and 17.6 per cent for the year-to-date.

This is a dramatic transition for the offices sector, which accounted for 39 per cent of market transactions in 2020 and 28 per cent in 2021. A number of factors are likely contributing to this shift. Among them is the depleting availability of developer-led schemes for trade, concern attaching to the occupational impact of the working-from-home (WFH) phenomenon, and the unknown impact of required ESG retrofitting to standing stock.

As a consequence of the decline in the office sector’s relative importance we are seeing a number of alternative sectors come to the fore. The industrial sector has seen the reverse trend as the desire for sheds from institutions is unabated and the supply side is relatively elastic. It has grown from a mere 4 per cent in 2019 and 8.8 per cent in 2020 to 13.1 per cent currently, almost on a par with office. Similarly, the healthcare sector, from near obscurity, comes to represent almost 8 per cent of investment volumes.

When you add all this up, excluding the Hibernia and Salesforce deals, “beds, sheds and meds” made up over 65 per cent of investment-transaction volume in the year to date. When you consider that sheds and medss collectively amounted to mere rounding errors in the investment statistics 10 years ago, it demonstrates just how much the real-estate landscape has shifted and reinforces the sheer naivety of assuming that the market today is a clear indicator of future trends

The increased availability of so-called “grey space” and sublet opportunities, eg LinkedIn in Wilton Place, may further reduce speculative office development and consequent supply. The roll-out of primary healthcare centres across the country will support continued growth in investment the healthcare sector. These trends point to the future of the investment market and are the current focus of our research and consultancy team.

Article by The Irish Times

Following an extended period of “head burying”, most property fund managers are bracing themselves for material negative valuer adjustments across their portfolios (with the potential exception of retail which has already been massively discounted). This trepidation is clearly derived from the escalating impacts of the war in Ukraine, spiralling inflation, rising interest rates, looming recession in both the US and across the EU, and now the calamitous UK economic situation. However, there is one area of the property market where the impact of these issues will be magnified and, to add to its woes, systemic shortfalls exposed which have been historically overlooked. This is the area of non-ESG (environmental, social and governance) compliant offices, many of which are already on their way to becoming “stranded assets”.

If a building does not meet ESG requirements and the cost of improving it to satisfy these exceeds the required market return, the building in question can be considered a stranded asset. In the valuers’ defence, the office occupational market has been very slow in adjusting to the environmental agenda

Until relatively recently very few valuers were appropriately differentiating between offices that could satisfy occupier ESG requirements and those that could not. This is especially the case for those perceived “modern schemes” constructed in the past 10 years but whose energy conservation specification does not satisfy the 2017 Part L building guidelines — the effective start of the nZEB (nearly zero energy building) standards. Even if ESG upgrades were accounted for, the costs being applied were often only a fraction of the reality. These costs, which include the likes of glass/facade replacement, plant enhancement/replacement, electrical hardware upgrades, new BMS (building management systems), PV (photovoltaic) installation, rainwater harvesting and general water conservation initiatives are now materially higher and rising.

A scarcity of materials and competition for labour and expertise is unlikely to see these costs abate in the next few years as the scale of the issue becomes apparent. The Bannon office team estimates than less than 15 per cent of Dublin’s current office stock is actually ESG compliant.

In the valuers’ defence, the office occupational market has been very slow in adjusting to the environmental agenda, and rent is ultimately the primary driver of value. However, since the ramifications of the EU’s sustainable finance directive (adopted in April 2021) and the UK’s escalating Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards (MEES) have become clearer, and with various recent high-profile climate events driving public (and corporate) opinion, a sea change in attitudes has swept over the occupational market.

If we look back at this quarter’s office lettings, the transition in the market’s thinking is clear. There was almost 400,000sq ft of take-up in Dublin’s core central business district (Dublin 1, 2 and 4) with 86 per cent of this accounted for by ESG-compliant space. Clearly there is now a firmly established two-tier office occupational market in the city centre, namely ESG-compliant offices and the rest. Interestingly, from a further review of this quarter’s take-up, it is clear that ESG is still not a priority in the more “value-focused” suburban locations with a mere 15 per cent of the 275,000sq ft of take-up outside of Dublin 1,2 and 4 being ESG-compliant. However, the pressure on all occupiers is likely to intensify further in January 2023 when the rest of the taxonomy regulations — technical screening criteria (TSC) and regulatory technical standards (RTS) — and the second phases of financial services sector regulation and the FCA climate-related disclosure regime come into effect.

This will be particularly difficult for suburban assets to react to as the rent available in these locations is unlikely to be sufficient to support ESG retrofits.

The extent of this micro-sector’s woes doesn’t stop there either. The “latent carbon” movement is also upon us meaning that it will become increasingly difficult to knock down existing buildings. Increased density and height can support the economics of ESG which is often maximised by demolition. The increasing focus on preserving latent carbon will mean the best that will be on offer for these buildings is to be extended vertically and horizontally, which will have both structural and planning limitations. As a consequence, valuers are finally consulting their quantity-surveyor colleagues to determine the true scale of the issue. The “tic-tic” of the rollercoaster looks to be falling silent for this part of the market, and I’m not sure the current non-ESG compliant office owners will enjoy the ride to come.

There will however be a huge opportunity for those with the skills to efficiently transition these buildings back towards the institutional mainstream. In this regard, valuing and selling these assets will require an in-depth analysis of the true costs associated with bringing them up to standard. For some, the maths just will not work, while for others pursuing an alternate use may be the only avenue open to them.

Article by The Irish Times

Take up for Q2 was largely on par with Q1 of this year with 511,549 sq.ft. of office accommodation transacting across 61 deals, bringing the YTD take up figure to just over 1 million sq.ft. Whilst not back to pre-covid levels, demand in the marketplace continues with over 1.3 million sq.ft. currently reserved.

The commercial rental market is on the cusp of significant change. The true impact of Section 132 of the Land Conveyancing Reform Act 2009 is now impacting all reviews. Learn how our highly experienced team can help you with your rent review.

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In our latest Dublin Office Market Review and outlook, we examine activity in the sector over the last 12 months and look at some key predictions for 2022.

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Take up for 2021 exceeded 1,700,000 sq.ft. There was a notable increase in market activity from H2, with Q4 attributing over 1,000,000 sq.ft. to the final years take up figure. This was largely boosted by 2 transactions in excess of 200,000 sq.ft. (representing 29% of total take up).
We are off to a strong start for 2022 with over 800,000 sq.ft. of accommodation currently reserved.

Take up for Q3 has exceeded 460,000 sq.ft. across 53 transactions. This represents a 92% increase on Q3 2020 but more importantly a 26% increase on Q3 2019 (pre covid).

This quarter has seen a significant jump in activity in the suburbs, particularly in the South Suburbs which accounted for 41% of all transactions.

As we enter Q4 there is over 1,000,000 sq.ft. reserved, this coupled with an increase in active requirements and the continuation of a phased return to the office should bode well for the office market for the remainder of the year.

Covid 19 and level 5 restrictions have continued to impact the Dublin office market this quarter with just 14 transactions recorded across the sector.
As the vaccination rollout continues we are seeing a notable increase in market activity and re-activation of requirements, as companies plan for a return to the office. This is highlighted further by the increase in office accommodation reserved, which currently stands at over 500,000 sq.ft. across the capital.