MIPIM 2023
Our Bannon team at the MIPIM keynote address by Professor Jeremy Rifkin… Feel free to reach out to Neil Bannon or Roderick Nowlan if you’re around!
Our Bannon team at the MIPIM keynote address by Professor Jeremy Rifkin… Feel free to reach out to Neil Bannon or Roderick Nowlan if you’re around!
Happy International Women’s Day to all of the incredible women we work with, clients and friends of Bannon.
To celebrate, our social committee organised these beautiful cupcakes to arrive this morning by The Cupcake Store, which went down a treat!
Bannon are delighted to have been involved in delivering a new 13,000 sqft flagship #Foot Locker offer at Ilac Shopping Centre and an upsize and relocation to 6,000 sqft at Swords Pavilions Shopping Centre for clients Hammerson Ireland and Irish Life Assurance plc.
Both stores are due to open in Q2 2023.
“The ship has reached the shore,” United Nations conference president Rena Lee announced after a marathon final day of talks between negotiators from more than 100 countries.
Ocean ecosystems keep our planet in balance by producing nearly half of the earth’s oxygen and absorbing much of its carbon dioxide but they are under threat from pollution, exploitation and global warming. After 15 years of negotiations, the UN High Seas Treaty which will help to protect vast swathes of the planet’s oceans was agreed in New York on Saturday. The high seas, or the parts of the ocean that are not territorial waters, do not technically belong to anyone and account for 60% of the earths oceans. Only a mere 1% of the high seas are currently protected. The treaty places 30% of the world’s land and sea under protection by the end of 2030, a target known as “30 by 30”.
The next step for the treaty is signing by UN member states and formal adoption after which countries will have to look at practically how these measures would be implemented and managed. This phase may take some time, however, the agreement of the High Seas Treaty is a major milestone as we look towards a greener future.
Bannon’s latest Office Pulse is now live!
This month’s Office Pulse includes expert market insights from Lucy Connolly and Cillian O’Reilly. In this edition we ask; As tech sector expansion slows down, is this the end of the super deal? We also look at the data behind a two-tier occupational office letting market.
To view the full report, please click here.
Bannon’s latest monthly Retail Pulse has now gone live.
In this publication we look at what has been an encouraging start for our retail leasing team with significant impetus carrying forward from 2022. Our footfall trackers also indicate a positive start to the year with January data for our shopping centre portfolio tracking almost in line with 2019 levels. Finally Neil Bannon looks at the stark decrease in the household debt to income ratio and what this might mean for the retail sector
To view the full report, please click here.
Bannon has announced three senior and well deserving appointments to our expanding team.
Jennifer Mulholland has been promoted to Director of Retail, Leigha Mawer to Divisional Director of Property Management and Alex Patterson to Director of Property Management.
Jennifer, Leigha and Alex are pictured with Bannon Managing Director Paul Doyle and Executive Chairman Neil Bannon.
Congratulations RBK Chartered Accountants on your new HQ! It was an absolute pleasure to work with the RBK team on this acquisition and to secure a fantastic new office for your next phase of growth. We wish you all continued success in Termini, Sandyford!
Bannon acted on behalf of The McCafferty’s Group with their acquisition of The Barge, the well established and high profile city centre pub premises. This is a perfect entry to the Dublin market for McCafferty’s.
Paul Doyle, Managing Director of Bannon represented the occupier.
Neil Bannon joined Newstalk Bobby Kerr on Down to Business on Saturday to discuss what we might do to attract the investment our towns and cities need right now.
To listen to the full podcast, click here.
Following the recent practical completion of Phase 1, South West Business Park by Rohan Holdings, Bannon is pleased to announce the acquisition of Unit 2B on behalf of a client in the healthcare sector. South West Business Park is located just off the Kingswood interchange on the M7 and adjoins the Cheeverstown Luas stop in Citywest. When completed the Business Park will comprise five units extending to approximately 323,000 sq ft. Unit 2B is a state-of-the-art facility extending to just over 20,000 sq ft and has 12m clear internal eaves height, dedicated yards, electric-vehicle charging facilities and LEED Silver sustainability credentials. We are particularly pleased to have secured this facility for our Client given the ongoing shortage of prime warehouse/logistics space within the Greater Dublin Area.
Niall Brereton, Director of Bannon represented the occupier.
Celebrating Pancake Tuesday in the office with these tasty crêpes by Sweet Cicely.
What a wonderful treat organised by our Social Committee!
After many years of engagement McDonald’s will now soon arrive at Rosebank Retail Park in Carrick-on-Shannon. Great to have been involved in delivering another top brand to a very successful retail scheme.
Bannon acted for the owner and JLL Ireland for McDonalds.
We at Bannon couldn’t be prouder to be taking part in The Mater Foundation 100-mile challenge again this year. The aim is to walk/run/jog 100 miles in the month of February and help raise vital funds to support life-saving and life-changing Cardiac Care for patients and their families in the Mater Hospital, Dublin.
It would be greatly appreciated if you could support our efforts by making a contribution, big or small, to help change patients lives for the better.
To donate, click here.
The first Bannon Dublin Office Market Pulse of 2023 is now live. Dublin office market take up exceeded 2,650,000 sq.ft. in 2022, boosted by a busy Q4 with over 804,000 sq.ft. transacting in the final quarter. See full details below together with expert insight from Lucy Connolly.
To view the full report, please click here.
Davy Real Estate has appointed Ireland’s largest, domestically owned commercial property consultancy firm Bannon, to manage Harbour Place Shopping Centre in Mullingar. The shopping centre which was opened in the mid-1990s comprises in excess of 100,000 sq. ft. of retail floor space and is anchored by Dunnes Stores. Other notable occupiers include Boots, Paul Byron Shoes, C.R. Tormey Butchers, Carraig Donn, Claire’s Accessories, Peter Mark, Holland and Barrett & Esquires.
Bannon manages over 55 retail shopping centres and retail parks across the country, covering seven million sq. ft. of commercial real estate worth c. €2 billion. As the market leader, Bannon has advised and managed the country’s most notable retail spaces in the last thirty years such as Dundrum Town Centre, Blanchardstown S.C., Swords Pavilions and The Square.
Commenting on the appointment, Director of the Bannon Property Management team, Ray Geraghty said “We are extremely proud to be working with Davy Real Estate on this important asset, and we look forward to working closely with the centre management team and occupiers. This instruction has particular significance for me given that Mullingar is my hometown. The midlands is going from strength to strength and we are proud to be supporting this growth. The appointment further validates the position we in Bannon hold as market leaders of retail property management in Ireland.”
Bannon is pleased to welcome this year’s interns. We are delighted to have you join the team and hope you have a fantastic time working with us.
Stephan Van Breda, Troy Ryan, Kate Wolfe, Emily King
One of the main attractions in Melbourne, Australia is undeniably its City Centre laneways. Once existing as purely functional areas, in the 1990’s the Government introduced policies to reimagine Melbourne’s laneways. The aim was to create exciting cultural and retail destinations in the Central Business District (CBD) to draw activity back into the city from suburban shopping centres.
The local policy promotes the inclusion of art, landscaping, street furniture and activity space to bring vibrancy with al fresco dining adding to this atmosphere. New developments are encouraged to provide small-scale tenancies at ground level to support a unique trading environment. The laneways are characterised by an abundance of local independent operators. These operators benefit from a city centre location without the cost of main street rents, adding diversity to the city’s retail core.
The policy in Melbourne recognises four core values that support the laneways’ success in attracting pedestrian movement and activating underutilised space.
So what can we learn from these policies for our cities in Ireland? Laneways are a common feature within Irish cities and towns. They are generally associated with servicing, bins, and anti-social behaviour, causing them to deflect rather than attract activity. We can see from policies introduced in Melbourne, that there is an opportunity to enhance our laneways while supporting our cities. They could act as extensions of retail streets, encouraging the circulation of shoppers, dwell zones and a destination for unique retail and food and beverage offers.
Led by policy, we can create vibrant and exciting spaces in Irish city centres. The Bannon Consultancy Team highlighted these opportunities in a Retail Study carried out for the Dublin City Council Development Plan 2022 – 2028. The private sector can play a role. Property owners with significant frontage to a laneway could activate and provide an exciting new space for the public to enjoy, creating rental value from previously underutilised space. We need to think creatively to develop our cities.
Author: George Colyer, Surveyor, Bannon
Date: 31st January 2023
For the property sector, while one of strongest capital market years on record (second only to 2019), 2022 will be best remembered as the “year of reckoning”. A year where a mixture of macro-economic and geopolitical issues combined to commence rebasing the market following almost a decade of effectively zero interest rates, low inflation, and expansive monetary policies.
To view the full report, please click here.
Changing spending patterns saw retail sales in December 2022 fall marginally from November figures indicating the traditional Christmas rush has turned into more of a marathon than a sprint. Annualised figures (excl. motors) show a strong increase in sales values of 7.88% albeit a nominal increase in volumes of 0.16%. This reflects the ongoing price inflation which saw the cross over in the value and volume indexes last year. The data also shows a strong shift away from household and electrical which enjoyed a stellar performance during periods when other retail outlets were closed due to COVID restrictions.
What a wonderful treat this morning!
Bannon’s Social Committee is delighted to introduce Coffee and Pastry Mornings, the first of many, to boost morale and welcome new colleagues.
The first Bannon Pulse of 2023 is now live. We look back at the strong level of activity in 2022, highlighted by the large number of lettings and new market entrants. Our occupancy trackers finished 2022 in positive form, as did our trading analysis across the retail categories. Neil Bannon gives his take on the market concluding that, ‘The opportunity for informed investors is to acquire retail assets with robust performance but priced to reflect a negative narrative’.
To view the full report, please click here.
For the property sector, while one of strongest capital market years on record (second only to 2019), 2022 will be best remembered as the “year of reckoning”. A year where a mixture of macro-economic and geopolitical issues combined to commence rebasing the market following almost a decade of effectively zero interest rates, low inflation, and expansive monetary policies.
See the high-level Bannon summary of 2022 in Bannon’s first Investment Pulse of 2023!
Dublin Office market take up for 2022 exceeded the ten year moving average figure and surpassed 2,600,000 sq.ft. by year end. This figure was boosted by a busy Q4 with over 804,000 sq.ft. transacting in the final quarter of the year. This was largely attributable to the two largest transactions of the year, Citigroup’s acquisition of 300,000 sq.ft. at Waterfront South Central and SMBC Aviation Capital’s leasing of 135,000 sq.ft. at Fitzwilliam 28.
Whilst not back to pre-covid levels, take up has increased by 53% on 2021 figures and we are seeing further stability in the market with an upsurge in activity from the Professional services and financial sectors.
Our final Retail Pulse of 2022 has just gone live. All in all, an exceptionally busy year for the team at Bannon. 2023 is looking very promising for Retail.
Neil Bannon concludes this Retail Pulse with 10 Reasons to be Cheerful about the Retail Landscape in Ireland (page 4).
To view the full report, please click here.
The new Dublin City Development Plan for the period 2022-2028 came into effect on 14th December 2022. The Plan establishes the planning framework for the evolution of the City over a six-year period. One of the most notable changes brought about in this Plan are the restrictions placed on the potential future development of lands zoned ‘Z15 – Institutional and Community’. The Plan states that any residential or commercial development on such lands would only be considered in “highly exceptional circumstances”.
It is estimated that some 1,800 acres of land throughout the City Council administrative area are zoned Z15. While a significant portion of this total comprises existing educational and healthcare facilities, a significant proportion comprises lands privately owned by religious organisations including the Archdiocese of Dublin. In an era where consolidation of parishes is likely to become more prevalent, these properties, which are typically centrally located within local communities, could offer the potential for repurposing as social or private housing and go some way towards the addition of much needed residential stock across the capital. It appears contradictory that the new Development Plan has limited the future development potential of these lands in a time of chronic need and when creative solutions are required most.
Niall Brereton BSc MRICS MSCSI is a Registered Valuer and Director of Professional Services at Bannon.
A little Christmas together with the Bannon team.
Bannon’s latest monthly Retail Pulse has now gone live. Neil Bannon looks at recent retail sales data to demonstrate how the negative narrative continues to clash with reality.
To view the full report, please click here.
The environment and climate change were once again the centre of attention for world leaders and delegates last month at the UN Climate Change Conference, COP27. Taking place in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh, the conference welcomed more than 100 Heads of State and Governments and over 35,000 participants.
One of the major talking points of COP27 was greenwashing. Greenwashing is the process of conveying a false impression or misleading information about how a company’s actions and/or products are environmentally sound. The UN High-Level Expert Group on Net-Zero Emissions Commitments of Non-State Entities evaluated climate commitments and action plans of large multinational institutions finding one-third of the world’s 2,000 largest firms, by revenue, have publicly stated net zero goals. A staggering 93% of them have no chance of hitting their self-elected targets without drastically ramping up their current initiatives.
Coinciding with COP27 and in contrast to the greenwashing mentioned above, retailers including H&M, Kering and Inditex committed to purchasing over half a million tonnes of low-carbon alternative fibres for clothing and packaging to help reduce global emissions. It is reported that every tonne of clothing produced using alternative fibres will save between 4 and 15 tonnes of carbon emission. This commitment may provide the market pull required to attract investment to scale the alternative fibre sector which currently accounts for a tiny fraction (7.5 million tonnes) of man-made fibres produced each year.
The big question remains, can countries and institutions step up their efforts in tackling climate change?
Blog post written by Cillian O’Reilly, our Sustainability Manager. You can contact Cillian by email on coreilly@bannon.ie
A brand new Zara store will open at Blanchardstown Shopping Centre tomorrow just in time for Christmas.
The store is set to be the largest branch in Ireland and will open its doors and 9am. The fashion retailer’s Blanchardstown outlet has been temporarily closed as they moved to the 52,000sq ft former Debenhams unit in the shopping centre.
A spokeswoman for Blanchardstown Centre said: “The expansive new store will offer the latest womenswear, menswear and childrenswear collections, along with accessories, through a world-class and vibrant in-store experience.
“The new store features the latest technological innovations of Zara’s integrated online and physical store platforms. It is equipped with technological tools to offer customers a unique fashion experience. The store also includes new areas for the latest product lines, such as the menswear Athleticz line (the only one in Ireland), as well as footwear and accessories.”
The impact of macroeconomic changes on the property sector being discussed at The National Property Summit 2022 today.
Our Chairman Neil Bannon will be discussing the commercial property sector with Suzie Nolan from Aviva, Vincent Harney and Carol Tallon from Property District.
A busy morning at MAPIC for our retail team Darren Peavoy and Jennifer Mulholland, catching up with retailers and colleagues in The International Retail Network (TIRN).
Great news for the Citywest community. The nationwide restaurant chain, Camile Thai Kitchen has chosen Citywest Shopping Centre for its latest location.
As property managers and letting agents for the centre, we wish Camile the very best of luck as they create new jobs for the local area and become part of this thriving scheme.
The Bannon Property Management team is expanding with a growth of 20% in the last 12 months.
The team celebrated a successful year together at their Christmas department dinner last Friday. A big thanks to the team in FX Buckley on Pembroke Street for their hospitality.
Here’s to a prosperous 2023!
EZ Living Interiors have opened their fifteenth Irish store at The Retail Park Liffey Valley. The store, which adds to an already impressive retailer line up in the park, is home to over 100 sofa collections, 50 dining sets, 50 bedroom ranges and a divine collection of home accessories, with everything from the timeless to the trendy. With an array of furniture designed and manufactured locally in Ireland, the Irish-owned family business is passionate about supporting Irish jobs, skill and craftmanship.
Bannon are proud to act as Asset Manager, Property Management Agents and Lettings Agents for the scheme.
The Bannon Dublin Office Market report is available now. Take up for the third quarter reached 819,000 sq.ft. representing a 60% increase on Q2 and a 77% increase in the same period last year. Lease flexibility continues to be sought in the short term as companies continue to assess their office requirements as remote and hybrid models are fully determined.
We are seeing an increase in activity from the financial and professional services sectors, many of whom are seeking to satisfy their ESG policies in terms of their real estate decisions.
To view the full report, please click here.
To start with a few things about myself, I am 22 years old and graduating as an estate agent in Berlin. I currently work for Germany’s leading nationwide residential real estate company with over 16,000 employees, Vonovia SE.
As part of an Erasmus-funded exchange, my school offered me the opportunity to go on an internship to work in Dublin. The Property Management Team at Bannon agreed to host me. The team consists of 15 surveyors and one facility manager. I started work on a Monday morning at 10 am and was greeted by the team leads who in turn introduced me to all the teams in the firm. After hearing the great news that my internship would include attending a property conference, team building quiz and departmental Christmas party, I was eager to get started! I was partnered with one of the property surveyors who went through the management property portfolio and gave me advice on the go-to areas in Dublin.
My first week consisted of observing how Bannon manages assets and the role played by property management surveyors. This included conducting site inspections, reviewing tenancy schedules and leases and cross-checking against the Bannon reporting platform. I attended the SCSI PMFM Conference which consisted of a day-long industry conference filled with talks and insight into current talking points in the Irish property market.
The Pub quiz was very enjoyable and gave me a chance to find out more about the people behind Bannon and how they ended up in the property industry. I personally could not have asked for a better start and first week.
My second week consisted of working with surveyors on setting service charge Budgets for 2023 and reviewing insurance information for service providers. I met with the Facility Manager and saw the assets in real life, offering insight into how assets are managed on the ground. I visited several of the large shopping centres in the Bannon portfolio including the Pavilions Shopping Centre and The Square Tallaght, attending weekly operations meetings discussing the running of the centre and key metrics such as weekly footfall.
Heading into my last week there could not be a better send-off, as the property management department is having its Christmas Party, God knows why in November!
From my time with Bannon, I have found them to be innovative and striving to exceed clients’ expectations, or in this case – employees. And speaking for myself and my internship they surely have! My only complaint is that the internship is too short and should be prolonged indefinitely.
A contentious and topical issue for some time now, the Residential Zoned Land Tax (RZLT) will impact a range of stakeholders across the development land sector. The RZLT, which was introduced in the Finance Act 2021 effectively replaces the Vacant Site Levy, with a similar objective of increasing the supply of residential accommodation.
As an annual tax charge, it will be calculated at 3% of the market value of land zoned suitable for residential development which is or can be readily serviced. Each local authority is obliged to generate a residential zoned land tax map, with draft maps published from the start of November 2022.
Land suitable for residential development from the 1st of January 2022 and development not commenced prior to the 1st of February 2024 will be liable for taxation. Landowners seeking to be omitted from the tax have until the 1st of January 2023 to make an appeal to their Local Authority. Impacted landowners will be expected to self-assess or engage with a registered valuer to conclude the market value of their land in anticipation of the 23rd of May 2024 tax return date.
The limited circumstances under which the RZLT may be deferred include the following:
– Planning permission has been granted in respect of the residential land and a commencement notice, in respect of the residential development, has been lodged with the relevant Local Authority.
– If an appeal relating to the inclusion of the site on the register has not yet been determined.
– Judicial review or appeal to An Bord Pleanála is brought by a third party in relation to the planning permission that was granted.
For more information on the potential implications of RZLT contact nbrereton@bannon.ie.
There is a puzzle which involves moving the one empty space around a collection of tiles to make the correct image and it comes to mind when looking at the near-term future of the Dublin Office market.
The headline stats on the office market will tell you that there is 5.6m sq.ft. under construction but that 2.2m of it is pre-let. What these stats hide is that some of that pre-let space is actually available. Take 2 & 3 Wilton Place which are currently being built by IPUT for LinkedIn who have advised the market that they no longer want to occupy these buildings. IPUT’s investment is secure as the buildings are effectively let to a Microsoft business who are legally committed but from the market perspective 330,000 sq.ft. has just moved from the pre-let column to the available to let column and it’s not just buildings that are under construction. As agents on the redevelopment of the ESB headquarters we pre-let 28 Fitzwilliam Place to the tech company Slack subsequently selling the investment to the large European Investors Amundi. Slack were subsequently bought by Salesforce and 28 Fitzwilliam although fully complete since 2021 has never been occupied. To these examples can be added the buildings in the Facebook / Meta HQ in Ballsbridge which they have decided not to occupy although it is not clear that they will be bringing these to the leasing market or just mothball them for the time being.
What this adds up to is a much greater availability of brand-new top-grade office stock than the headline stats would suggest. We have no doubt that all this brand new ESG compliant stock will be occupied. They are good quality buildings in good locations that comply with the sustainability needs of large corporate occupiers. What it will do however is speed up the movement of the tiles around the board. It accelerates the ability of large corporate occupiers currently residing in non ESG compliant buildings to move to the buildings they need. When the image is complete the empty tiles will correspond to the older non ESG compliant buildings which will need to be upgraded, converted to alternative uses or generate a much lower rent than they have achieved heretofore.
At Bannon the Office & Consultancy teams are actively working with clients to solve the more complex problem, how to generate the best return from well located office stock that fails the sustainability test.
Author: Neil Bannon, Executive Chairman, Bannon
Date: 14th November 2022
Join Neil Bannon at the upcoming National Property Summit 2022 on 1st December discussing the latest challenges and opportunities facing Irish commercial property with this expert panel.
To celebrate World Kindness Week, the team at Malahide Road Retail Centre carried out some random acts of kindness by surprising some of our shoppers with gift cards across all our stores to help with their shopping!
Happy shopping everyone!
Walker Communications Irish Life Investment Managers
Whatever the short balance of the year has in store, there is little doubt that in 2022 a rubicon was crossed for assets that are not scoring well with their ESG credentials. The RICS made sure valuers took the step to acknowledge the importance of ESG credentials on buildings and their impact on values with the publication of a new guidance note effective from January this year. Also in 2022, more than ever, both occupiers and owners made known their absolute preference for ESG compliant buildings. In the office sector in Q3 over 85% of city take-up related to ESG compliant offices.
The Bannon Professional Services team has embraced the RICS Valuation Practice Guidance Note titled ‘Sustainability and ESG in Commercial Property Valuation and Strategic Advice’ in undertaking our valuations. In doing so we demonstrate how we have considered sustainability and ESG credentials in our valuation approach, calculations and commentary.
Our experience in 2022 is that the majority of owners have come to realise the importance of ESG credentials in terms of how they influence value. For some owners, mainly outside of the more professional participants, there is still the ‘unknown’ in terms of the actual cost to rectify their asset where there is a deficiency. In relation to older assets where there is a shortfall in data it has been necessary for us to ask for specialist third party inputs, primarily in relation to the cost of bringing the asset up to an acceptable ESG standard. On some of those occasions we have been challenged with the findings as, often is the case, the cost of the upgrade is not supported by a corresponding uplift in value. This is more typical where the asset is in a secondary location. In those circumstances we have then also looked at alternative uses or otherwise materially adjusted the carrying value.
All said, valuing properties which have a shortfall in terms of being a credible ESG asset requires an in-depth understanding of a myriad of factors. They include market variables, competition from compliant buildings, and costs.
We have learned a lot in the past 24 months, but with much more to learn as the focus on ESG continues with pace. The benchmark that buildings must reach in terms of a new rating post being redeveloped is still unclear. Also, whilst valuers will request a lot from owners as part of their due diligence, in many cases definitive answers are not yet available. What we do now know is that the value gap will continue to widen between those that do offer enhanced ESG credentials and those that don’t.
Author: Paul Doyle, Managing Director, Bannon
Date: 10th November 2022
A cursory look at both the third quarter and year-to-date property investment volume data would indicate that it’s a case of “steady as she goes” in the market but as always, the proverbial devil is in the detail. When you pull back the curtain on the statistics, the current institutional investment mantra of “beds, sheds and meds” is reflected in the true underlying trends.
At first glance, investment volumes for the third quarter show that offices hold the lead at 37.7 per cent closely followed by residential at 36 per cent. Year to date shows an even stronger position for offices at 43.5 per cent and residential at 29.9 per cent. However, two key transactions shroud a huge shift in the market and highlight the importance of both the residential sector and the movement in non-office investments.
If we exclude the €1.089 billion Hibernia Reit (Hibernia Real Estate Group) transaction from the second quarter (which arguably should not have been included as it was a corporate acquisition) and the one-off €500 million Salesforce headquarter deal from the third quarter, the lay of the land changes dramatically. The result is that the residential sector exceeds 50 per cent of third-quarter volumes and 44.4 per cent of the year-to-date volumes. Conversely, the office sector falls to a mere 17.7 per cent of the quarter and 17.6 per cent for the year-to-date.
This is a dramatic transition for the offices sector, which accounted for 39 per cent of market transactions in 2020 and 28 per cent in 2021. A number of factors are likely contributing to this shift. Among them is the depleting availability of developer-led schemes for trade, concern attaching to the occupational impact of the working-from-home (WFH) phenomenon, and the unknown impact of required ESG retrofitting to standing stock.
As a consequence of the decline in the office sector’s relative importance we are seeing a number of alternative sectors come to the fore. The industrial sector has seen the reverse trend as the desire for sheds from institutions is unabated and the supply side is relatively elastic. It has grown from a mere 4 per cent in 2019 and 8.8 per cent in 2020 to 13.1 per cent currently, almost on a par with office. Similarly, the healthcare sector, from near obscurity, comes to represent almost 8 per cent of investment volumes.
When you add all this up, excluding the Hibernia and Salesforce deals, “beds, sheds and meds” made up over 65 per cent of investment-transaction volume in the year to date. When you consider that sheds and medss collectively amounted to mere rounding errors in the investment statistics 10 years ago, it demonstrates just how much the real-estate landscape has shifted and reinforces the sheer naivety of assuming that the market today is a clear indicator of future trends
The increased availability of so-called “grey space” and sublet opportunities, eg LinkedIn in Wilton Place, may further reduce speculative office development and consequent supply. The roll-out of primary healthcare centres across the country will support continued growth in investment the healthcare sector. These trends point to the future of the investment market and are the current focus of our research and consultancy team.
Some bright news on this dark Monday! The funds collection for Property Picnic 22′ is complete, and the final transfer was an unexpected €170,087 following the big cheque transfer to Cancer Trials Ireland by the Bannon Team and Louise Creevey’s family! The Bannon Charity Committee would like to extend huge thanks to the wider property industry for embracing this event with over 64 participating firms but with particular thanks to the keystone, raffle and auction sponsors.
Watch this space for Property Picnic 2023!
Occupancy rates continue to improve and retail sales reach an inflection point.
To view the full report, please click here.
The Irish Commercial Real Estate (CRE) sector performed strongly in Quarter 3 with over €1.77 billion invested in Irish commercial property across 47 transactions. This figure was underpinned by the Ronan Group’s sale of the Salesforce HQ on Spencer Place and a 204-bedroom hotel for €500 million, the largest transaction by some margin. Annual turnover will significantly exceed €5bn for 2022 and establish the second strongest year on record after 2019.
To view the full report, click here.
A very exciting site visit earlier this week for Bannon’s Consultancy Team with Quintain Ireland at The Crossings, Adamstown where Tesco Ireland and Aldi Ireland are fitting out their new stores. Bannon are delighted to be appointed as Management and Lettings Agents for The Crossings, which upon completion will be the first new Irish shopping scheme delivered in over a decade.
For letting enquiries, please contact Darren Peavoy.
When a retailer considers expansion within or entry to a new territory, they must assess a wide range of factors to make a financially viable decision. Rather than Why Ireland, the Bannon Retail Team are using economic data to demonstrate to retailers – Why Not Ireland.
To start, there are several key statistics to Why Not Ireland:
The statistics don’t lie. These hard facts are aiding the post Covid retail recovery, providing confidence to expand to retailers and investors. This is evident in the number of new entrant brands who have recently signed expansion deals in Ireland including Lego, Russell & Bromley, Flannels, Carhartt & Pret A Manager to name a few.
The Bannon Retail Team is in active discussions with a range of additional new entrants. Some are considering Ireland ahead of the UK for store expansion. This is a significant shift away from the traditional route of opening in the major urban UK markets first.
Increased spend and the resulting increase in turnover is aiding retailers to make decisions to expand outside of the prime focus of city centres in Dublin, Cork, Limerick, and Galway. For example, Bannon recently welcomed Rituals to Marshes Shopping Centre in Dundalk. This demonstrates how a brand’s confidence in Ireland has seen retailer expansion strategy grow from Grafton Street to regional towns.
Whilst it might be viewed as a small country for expansion, the data provides a strong business case for retailers to decide Why Ireland should be a primary focus in their ongoing expansion plans.
Author: Jennifer Mulholland, Divisional Director, Bannon
Date: 12th October 2022
Following an extended period of “head burying”, most property fund managers are bracing themselves for material negative valuer adjustments across their portfolios (with the potential exception of retail which has already been massively discounted). This trepidation is clearly derived from the escalating impacts of the war in Ukraine, spiralling inflation, rising interest rates, looming recession in both the US and across the EU, and now the calamitous UK economic situation. However, there is one area of the property market where the impact of these issues will be magnified and, to add to its woes, systemic shortfalls exposed which have been historically overlooked. This is the area of non-ESG (environmental, social and governance) compliant offices, many of which are already on their way to becoming “stranded assets”.
If a building does not meet ESG requirements and the cost of improving it to satisfy these exceeds the required market return, the building in question can be considered a stranded asset. In the valuers’ defence, the office occupational market has been very slow in adjusting to the environmental agenda
Until relatively recently very few valuers were appropriately differentiating between offices that could satisfy occupier ESG requirements and those that could not. This is especially the case for those perceived “modern schemes” constructed in the past 10 years but whose energy conservation specification does not satisfy the 2017 Part L building guidelines — the effective start of the nZEB (nearly zero energy building) standards. Even if ESG upgrades were accounted for, the costs being applied were often only a fraction of the reality. These costs, which include the likes of glass/facade replacement, plant enhancement/replacement, electrical hardware upgrades, new BMS (building management systems), PV (photovoltaic) installation, rainwater harvesting and general water conservation initiatives are now materially higher and rising.
A scarcity of materials and competition for labour and expertise is unlikely to see these costs abate in the next few years as the scale of the issue becomes apparent. The Bannon office team estimates than less than 15 per cent of Dublin’s current office stock is actually ESG compliant.
In the valuers’ defence, the office occupational market has been very slow in adjusting to the environmental agenda, and rent is ultimately the primary driver of value. However, since the ramifications of the EU’s sustainable finance directive (adopted in April 2021) and the UK’s escalating Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards (MEES) have become clearer, and with various recent high-profile climate events driving public (and corporate) opinion, a sea change in attitudes has swept over the occupational market.
If we look back at this quarter’s office lettings, the transition in the market’s thinking is clear. There was almost 400,000sq ft of take-up in Dublin’s core central business district (Dublin 1, 2 and 4) with 86 per cent of this accounted for by ESG-compliant space. Clearly there is now a firmly established two-tier office occupational market in the city centre, namely ESG-compliant offices and the rest. Interestingly, from a further review of this quarter’s take-up, it is clear that ESG is still not a priority in the more “value-focused” suburban locations with a mere 15 per cent of the 275,000sq ft of take-up outside of Dublin 1,2 and 4 being ESG-compliant. However, the pressure on all occupiers is likely to intensify further in January 2023 when the rest of the taxonomy regulations — technical screening criteria (TSC) and regulatory technical standards (RTS) — and the second phases of financial services sector regulation and the FCA climate-related disclosure regime come into effect.
This will be particularly difficult for suburban assets to react to as the rent available in these locations is unlikely to be sufficient to support ESG retrofits.
The extent of this micro-sector’s woes doesn’t stop there either. The “latent carbon” movement is also upon us meaning that it will become increasingly difficult to knock down existing buildings. Increased density and height can support the economics of ESG which is often maximised by demolition. The increasing focus on preserving latent carbon will mean the best that will be on offer for these buildings is to be extended vertically and horizontally, which will have both structural and planning limitations. As a consequence, valuers are finally consulting their quantity-surveyor colleagues to determine the true scale of the issue. The “tic-tic” of the rollercoaster looks to be falling silent for this part of the market, and I’m not sure the current non-ESG compliant office owners will enjoy the ride to come.
There will however be a huge opportunity for those with the skills to efficiently transition these buildings back towards the institutional mainstream. In this regard, valuing and selling these assets will require an in-depth analysis of the true costs associated with bringing them up to standard. For some, the maths just will not work, while for others pursuing an alternate use may be the only avenue open to them.
Hambleden House
19-26 Pembroke Street Lower
Dublin 2
D02 WV96
Ireland
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Phone: +353 (1) 6477900
Fax: +353 (1) 6477901
Email: info@bannon.ie
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