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In the year to July, residential property prices at national level increased by 10.4%. This compares with an increase of 11.9% in the year to June and an increase of 11.6% in the twelve months to July 2017.
In Dublin, residential property prices increased by 7.2% in the year to July. Dublin house prices increased 6.5%. Apartments in Dublin increased 11.0% in the same period. The highest house price growth was in Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown, at 9.8%. In contrast, the lowest growth was in South Dublin, where house prices increased 5.2%.
Residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland (i.e. excluding Dublin) were 13.7% higher in the year to July. House prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 13.1% over the period. The Mid-West region showed the greatest price growth, with house prices increasing 23.7%. The Border region showed the least price growth, with house prices increasing 6.0%. Apartment prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 18.7% in the same period.
Overall Decline
Overall, the national index is 18.8% lower than its highest level in 2007. Dublin residential property prices are 21.8% lower than their February 2007 peak, while residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 23.1% lower than their May 2007 peak.
Recovery
From the trough in early 2013, prices nationally have increased by 81.3%. Dublin residential property prices have increased 93.8% from their February 2012 low, whilst residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 76.9% higher than the trough, which was in May 2013.
Ireland Consumer Confidence was reported at 107.6 in July from 102.1 in the previous period. It was expected at 101.5.
Consumer Confidence in Ireland increased to 107.60 Index Points in July from 102.10 Index Points in June of 2018. Consumer Confidence in Ireland averaged 87.92 Index Points from 1996 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 130.90 Index Points in January of 2000 and a record low of 39.60 Index Points in July of 2008.
In Ireland, the Consumer Sentiment Index survey covers a minimum of 1,100 households across all regions of the country. The questionnaire assesses respondents’ perceptions on the general economy in the previous 12 months as well as expectations for next 12 months; perceptions of recent trends in unemployment and inflation; recent trends and likely future evolution in the household’s financial situation as well as savings and major purchases intentions. The Consumer Sentiment Index is calculated as the percentage of favourable replies minus the percentage of unfavourable replies, plus 100. The indicator varies on a scale of 0 to 200; a value of 0 indicates extreme lack of confidence, 100 neutrality and 200 extreme confidence. This page provides the latest reported value for – Ireland Consumer Confidence – plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Ireland Consumer Confidence – actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases – was last updated on August of 2018.
source: tradingeconomics.com
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for April 2018 was 5.9%, down 0.1% from the revised rate of 6.0% in March 2018 and down from 6.8% in April 2017. The seasonally adjusted number of persons unemployed was 140,300 in April 2018, down from 143,500 when compared to the March 2018 figure and a decrease of 16,700 when compared to April 2017.
Summary points for April
In the year to February, residential property prices at national level increased by 13.0%. This compares with an increase of 12.0% in the year to January and an increase of 9.7% in the twelve months to February 2017.
In Dublin, residential property prices increased by 12.7% in the year to February. Dublin house prices increased 12.3%. Apartments in Dublin increased 14.5% in the same period. The highest house price growth was in Dublin City, at 14.2%. In contrast, the lowest growth was in Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown, where house prices increased 9.6%.
Residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland (i.e. excluding Dublin) were 13.3% higher in the year to February. House prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 13.1% over the period. The Midland region showed the greatest price growth, with house prices increasing 14.8%. The South-East region showed the least price growth, with house prices increasing 8.6%. Apartment prices in the Rest of Ireland increased 14.6% in the same period.
Overall Decline
Overall, the national index is 21.8% lower than its highest level in 2007. Dublin residential property prices are 23.0% lower than their February 2007 peak, while residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 27.5% lower than their May 2007 peak.
Recovery
From the trough in early 2013, prices nationally have increased by 74.6%. Dublin residential property prices have increased 90.6% from their February 2012 low, whilst residential property prices in the Rest of Ireland are 66.7% higher than the trough, which was in May 2013.
The economy grew by 7.8% of GDP last year, according to preliminary estimates from the Central Statistics Office, making it the European Union’s fastest-growing economy for the fourth year in a row.
Measured by GNP, the economy grew by 6.6% in 2017, the CSO said.
The CSO said that Modified Domestic Demand – a new measure used in Ireland to remove the distorting effects of foreign multinational companies – showed growth of 3.9%.
This suggests that the wider economy is feeling little initial impact from Brexit.
Today’s figures show that Personal Consumption Expenditure grew by 1.9%. This is regarded as an important barometer of the performance of the domestic economy.
Consumer spending on goods increased by 4.6%, while spending on services was marginally negative at -0.1%.
The CSO said that industrial output grew by 8.9%. In the ICT sector output increased by 16.8%, while financial and insurance output fell slightly, down by 0.7%.
Capital investment showed a drop of 22.3% last year, driven by a lower level of Intellectual Property imports when compared with the exceptionally high level of such imports in 2016.
The country’s balance of payments recorded a strong surplus of €37.1 billion, or 12.5%, of GDP.
This compared to a surplus of €9.1 billion in 2016, and €28.6 billion in 2015. The series was also affected by the large level of IP imports in 2016.
The relevance of using GDP as an accurate measure for such an open economy as the Irish economy was called into question when 2015 growth figures were adjusted up after a massive revision to the stock of capital assets related to the large multinational sector here.
While other more stable data point to very strong growth in the real economy, last year net exports were flattered greatly by the absence of large imports of intellectual property and aircraft leasing activity, which have skewed data in the past.
That pushed GDP up 10.9% year-on-year in the third quarter, revised slightly higher today.
This meant annual growth stood at 8.4% in the final three months of the year.
The economy expanded by 3.2% on a quarterly basis from October to December, compared with 4.8% in the previous quarter.
Ireland has rebounded from an economic crash a decade ago that pushed it into an international bailout in 2010, and the momentum has continued into this year with unemployment falling to 6.1% from a peak of 16% during the the crisis.
Data yesterday showed that employment – which analysts say is the cleanest gauge of Irish growth – was just shy of the 2007 peak at 2.23 million at the end of 2017 following a sharp rise in jobs growth in the fourth quarter.
Seasonally adjusted, the volume of retail sales decreased by 0.6% in the month of January, with an annual increase of 1.3%. If Motor Trades are excluded, there was an increase of 1.1% in the volume of retail sales in January 2018 when compared with December 2017 and there was an increase of 5.7% in the annual figure.
The sectors with the largest monthly volume decreases were Department Stores (-4.2%) and Motor Trades (-0.9%). The sectors with the largest month on month volume increases were Other Retail Sales (18.4%) and Pharmaceuticals,Medical & Cosmetic Articles (8.1%).
There was an increase of 0.7% in the value of retail sales in January 2018 when compared with December 2017 and there was an annual decrease of 0.7% when compared with January 2017. If Motor Trades are excluded there was an increase of 0.8% in the month and an increase of 3.2% in the annual figure.
CSO reports
Ireland is the world’s eighth-most “inclusive” advanced economy, based on a measure from the World Economic Forum (WEF), which looks beyond economic growth data to examine living standards, environmental sustainability and protection of future generations from indebtedness.
The ranking marks an improvement on Ireland’s 12th place among 29 advanced economies in a previous report published by the WEF, organisers of the annual Davos conference taking place this week.
“Our reliance on GDP [gross domestic product] of national economic achievement is fuelling short-termism and inequality, and leaders must urgently move to a new model of inclusive growth and development,” according to the WEF report, published on Monday, on the eve of the four-day gathering in the Swiss ski resort.
“Decades of prioritising economic growth over social equity has led to historically high levels of wealth and income inequality and caused governments to miss out on a virtuous circle in which growth is strengthened by being shared more widely and generated without unduly straining the environment or burdening future generation,” it said.
The WEF gathering of the world’s political and corporate leaders, alongside a smattering of celebrities, at Davos every year since 1971 has itself been criticized over the decades for its perceived elitist nature.
This year’s attendees include US president Donald Trump, Taoiseach Leo Varadkar, Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe, French president Emmanuel Macron along with Bank of America chief executive Brian Moynihan, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, actress Cate Blanchett and musician and producer Will.i.am.
Norway has topped the list of the worlds’ most inclusive advanced economies, followed by Iceland, Luxembourg, Switzerland and Denmark. The UK came in 22nd and the US 23rd, with Italy, Portugal and Greece taking the bottom three slots on the list of 29 countries.
The index looks at a series of gauges, from GDP per capita to life expectancy, employment rates, median income, public debt, carbon emissions based on the size of the economy and ratio of the young and elderly depending on people in the workforce.
Article in the Irish Times
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for December 2017 was 6.2%, down from the revised rate of 6.4% in November 2017 and down from 7.5% in December 2016.
The seasonally adjusted number of persons unemployed was 146,700 in December 2017, down from 149,900 when compared to the November 2017 figure and a decrease of 26,900 when compared to December 2016.
Summary points for December
CSO reports
It is estimated that Irish shoppers spent an extra €90m on groceries over the festive period, according to the latest grocery market share figures from Kantar Worldpanel in Ireland, published today for the 12 weeks ending 31 December 2017.
Among the retailers, Dunnes Stores remained the top Irish supermarket. The grocer captured a market share of 23.0% – up 0.3 percentage points on this time last year – and achieved its strongest sales growth since May 2017, up 4.9%. Dunnes Stores’ customers remain loyal to the store, with perks such as the ‘Shop and Save’ campaign encouraging customers to add extra items to their shopping baskets.
Tesco also performed strongly, achieving its highest sales growth since February 2011, up 5.8%. The supermarket’s impressive growth helped it increase its market share by 0.5 percentage points compared to this time last year, and it now stands at 22.8%. SuperValu clocked in sales growth of 2.0%, with the grocer encouraging customers to spend an extra 70 cents every time they shop.
Historically, Kantar say shoppers have chosen to trade up over the Christmas period, however, Lidl seems to have broken the trend this year. The retailer enjoyed a positive performance over the Christmas period, with market share rising to 10.4% thanks to sales growth of 4.8%. While Aldi saw sales rise by 0.9% this was below the overall market level and led to a slight dip in market share – down 0.3 percentage points compared to this time last year.
According to the figures, the trend towards online shopping is showing no signs of slowing down. Online grocers experienced impressive sales growth of 24%, which boosted their share of the market to a record 2.3% over the Christmas period. Although grocery e-commerce shoppers haven’t increased in number, customers who already shop online have upped the frequency of their purchases with, on average, one extra order placed over this period.
Commenting on the figures, Director at Kantar Worldpanel, David Berry said, “Over the Christmas period the average household spent a record €1,532 on groceries – an increase of €38 compared to last year. Much of this increase has been driven by staple items, with fruit, vegetables, meat and poultry posting a combined sales increase of €28m. Shoppers were also partial to a Christmas tipple with sales of alcohol up almost 6% – a boost of €13 million. Wine was the drink of choice this year with white wine and red wine sales up an impressive 10% and 12% respectively.”
Article in the www.businessworld.ie
Hambleden House
19-26 Pembroke Street Lower
Dublin 2
D02 WV96
Ireland
»Map
Phone: +353 (1) 6477900
Fax: +353 (1) 6477901
Email: info@bannon.ie